Welcome to This Week in Logistics, your Sunday briefing on the stories shaping global freight. Here’s what moved the market this week.

This week, En Route tracked 413 articles across 101 story clusters from 75+ sources. We’ve also added podcasts to the mix — episodes from 9 top logistics and supply chain shows are now summarized and clustered alongside the news. Check them out →

THE BIG STORY

U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran have prompted major ocean and air carriers to suspend bookings and implement war risk surcharges across the Persian Gulf and Arabian Gulf regions. The escalation effectively ends hopes for near-term Red Sea shipping normalization and threatens to sustain elevated freight rates into 2026, while raising concerns about broader economic impacts including oil prices and port congestion.

TOP STORIES

Hapag-Lloyd suspended three services (OGS, UG2, UGS) while Maersk halted FM1, ME11, and Gulf shuttle operations due to escalating Middle East security concerns.

via Container News · 13 sources on EnRoute →

Iran states it is selectively targeting Western and Israeli-linked vessels in the Strait of Hormuz rather than implementing a complete closure, though the restriction has severely disrupted maritime traffic through the world's most critical energy chokepoint.

via Seatrade Maritime · 10 sources on EnRoute →

Middle East geopolitical tensions are forcing air cargo to bypass Gulf aviation hubs, tightening capacity on Asia-Europe routes as post-lunar new year manufacturing demand accelerates.

The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration has revoked approval for 14 electronic logging devices, requiring affected carriers to replace non-compliant units within a 60-day deadline as part of an ongoing enforcement push against ELD systems failing to meet safety and technical standards.

via Truck News · 7 sources on EnRoute →

The Strait of Hormuz crisis has triggered widespread insurance withdrawals and war risk protocol implementations as hundreds of vessels become stranded and carriers implement emergency measures.

via Supply Chain Brain · 7 sources on EnRoute →

A U.S.

via STAT Trade Times · 6 sources on EnRoute →

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared the Strait of Hormuz closed and threatened to set ships ablaze attempting transit, directly threatening the 20% of global daily oil supplies flowing through the critical chokepoint.

via Container News · 6 sources on EnRoute →

Belgium imposed an $11.6 million bail requirement for the release of seized Russian shadow fleet tanker Ethera, contingent on full compliance verification with maritime regulations.

via gCaptain · 6 sources on EnRoute →

QUICK HITS

🚢 Ocean

✈️ Air Cargo

🚛 Trucking

⚓ Ports

🤝 Deals & M&A

🤖 AI & Automation

📦 Warehouse

⚠️ Disruptions

THE NUMBER

[NUMBER] — [DESCRIPTION OF WHAT THIS NUMBER MEANS. Edit this before sending.]

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That’s it for this week. Stay sharp out there.

Summaries and story clusters are AI-generated and may contain inaccuracies. Always refer to original sources for complete reporting.

THE BIG 3

1. Blank Sailings Surge as Carriers Brace for Demand Drop

Ocean carriers are pulling capacity at an accelerating pace. Hapag-Lloyd, MSC, and CMA CGM have collectively announced over 40 blank sailings on Asia-Europe and transpacific lanes through March. It's the sharpest capacity withdrawal since early 2023 — and it's not seasonal. With U.S. import volumes softening post-Lunar New Year and European demand flat, carriers are trying to prop up spot rates before the traditional Q2 contract season. The strategy is working short-term: Shanghai-Rotterdam rates ticked up 3% this week. But shippers should watch for knock-on delays and equipment imbalances, especially at transshipment hubs like Tanjung Pelepas and Colombo.

2. UPS Cuts 20,000 Jobs as Volume Slows

UPS announced it will eliminate 20,000 positions globally — roughly 4% of its workforce — as package volumes continue to underwhelm. CEO Carol Tome pointed to a structural shift: e-commerce growth is flattening in mature markets, and the company's cost base built for peak pandemic throughput is now oversized. The cuts span operations, management, and corporate. For freight shippers, this matters because UPS's network efficiency directly affects LTL and forwarding capacity. The stock rallied 4% on the news — Wall Street rewarding the discipline — but the move signals a broader reckoning across parcel and express logistics.

3. Gemini Cooperation Returns to Suez After Red Sea Pause

The Gemini alliance (Maersk + Hapag-Lloyd) is resuming Suez Canal transits on select Asia-Europe services, the first major carrier group to formally re-route back through the canal since Houthi attacks disrupted traffic in late 2023. The decision follows a relative lull in attacks and rising Cape of Good Hope diversion costs. Not all services are returning — only the AE1 and AE7 loops initially — but it's a significant signal. If Gemini holds the route without incident through March, expect other alliances to follow. Transit time savings: ~7 days versus Cape routing.

THE ROUTE MAP

Ocean

Asia-Europe spot rates (SCFI): $1,850/FEU, +3% week-over-week. Transpacific rates flat at $3,200/FEU to USWC. Blank sailing announcements running 35% above same period last year. Equipment availability tightening at South China ports.

Air

Air cargo demand remains strong on Asia-North America lanes, driven by e-commerce and semiconductor shipments. Hong Kong-LAX rates holding at $5.20/kg. European lanes softer. The Lunar New Year bounce-back has been muted compared to 2025, suggesting structural demand moderation rather than seasonal weakness.

Trucking

U.S. spot rates (dry van): $1.82/mile national average, down 2 cents from last week. Tender rejection rates at 4.8% — still well below the 7% threshold that signals real tightening. Diesel: $3.74/gal, flat. The trucking recession continues, but carrier exits are accelerating, which should set up a tighter market by Q3-Q

WHAT YOU MIGHT HAVE MISSED

  • Port of Oakland reported a 12% year-over-year decline in January container volumes, the steepest drop on the U.S. West Coast.

  • DB Schenker (now under DSV ownership) is consolidating 14 European warehouses into 6 mega-hubs. Expect disruption through Q2.

  • India's Sagarmala program approved $2.1B in new port infrastructure spending, targeting 8 coastal projects for completion by 2028.

  • FedEx quietly expanded its autonomous delivery pilot with Nuro to 3 new U.S. metros (Austin, Nashville, Phoenix).

  • EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) reporting requirements now cover shipping emissions. First compliance deadline: March 31.

AI & AUTOMATION WATCH

  • Flexport launched an AI-powered customs classification tool that auto-assigns HS codes with 94% accuracy, cutting broker review time by 60%.

  • Maersk is piloting computer vision at APM Terminals Rotterdam to detect container damage during gate-in — 3-second scan per box.

  • Gatik (autonomous trucking) secured a $95M Series C to expand middle-mile autonomous routes. Now operating 35 daily routes for Walmart and Loblaw.

  • Project44 released a predictive ETA model claiming 40% fewer "surprise" delays through ML-based port congestion forecasting.

THE NUMBER

136

That's the number of container ships currently waiting at anchor globally, according to MarineTraffic data as of Wednesday. It's up from 98 two weeks ago and 74 at the start of the year. The increase is driven by a combination of blank sailing schedule disruptions, port congestion in Southeast Asia, and weather delays in Northern Europe. For context, the pandemic peak was ~350. We're not there — but the trend is worth watching.

That's your week in freight. If someone forwarded this to you and you'd like to receive it directly, you can subscribe here.

See you next week.

— Kasper
Founder, EnRoute.News

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